Resisting Influence and Supporting Stability Campaign (RISSC)
The RISSC project seeks to model complex behaviors to create a more effective early warning system, on the one hand, for anticipating conflicts and potential collapse for fragile states and on the other, to attempt to counter direct and indirect influence campaigns before they can take effect or before their initiators can take advantage of instability to influence high-stakes decisions. The effort will also consider the impact of illicit networks that may be employed in such efforts. A combined approach utilizing social science and STEM will be key to enable us to understand how decisions can be influenced, if we can perceive or resist influence attempts, and when specific influence strategies work.
The focus of the RISSC effort is four-fold: understanding the relative importance of factors that hallmark the impending collapse or deterioration of a fragile or failing state; understanding and countering the effects of key influencing measures that are used to motivate people to make decisions counter to their own best interests; understanding and anticipating the process by which individuals come to affiliate themselves with terrorist and violent extremist groups; and understanding the structure and impact of illicit networks underpinning these areas.