Abstract – This presentation links the concepts of strategic warning intelligence with concepts of conflict analysis and resolution to create a framework for intelligence to assist policymakers understand the situation and develop possible choices (opportunity analysis) to prevent war and/or resolve social conflict short of war. The presentation illustrates the similar functions of strategic warning intelligence and conflict analysis, and the similar functions of opportunity analysis and conflict resolution strategies. The study hopes to move intelligence analysis of social conflict to the “left of boom” and extend warning time for policymakers to implement alternative solutions to military action.
Sponsored by the Laboratory for Analytic Sciences
LAS aims to bring together a multi-disciplinary group of academic, industry, and government researchers, analysts and managers together to re-engineer the intelligence analysis process to promote predictive analysis. LAS will do this by conducting both classified and unclassified research in a variety of areas of research. The research done in this area will serve as the foundation for mission effects and integrated back into the enterprise.
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